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Posts Tagged ‘Oakland Raiders’

2009 NFL Predictions Rehash

Posted by Jack Deus on January 4, 2010

The NFL regular season is over and the playoffs are about to begin, so it is time to look back at my NFL predictions from August and see how close (or far) I was to being Nostradamus.

AFC Predictions Recap

East: 1. Patriots, 2. Dolphins, 3. Bills, 4. NY Jets

North: 1. Steelers, 2. Ravens, 3. Bengals, 4. Browns

South: 1. Colts, 2. Titans, 3. Texans, 4. Jaguars

West: 1. Chargers, 2. Raiders, 3. Broncos, 4. Chiefs

Some of the predictions I made and what actually happened.

“Pats have a good chance of going undefeated” – They lost 6 games.

“Dolphins should still be able to finish above .500” – They finished 7-9

“Addition of T.O. should make a drastic difference” – He did lead the team in receptions and yards, but the Bills still stunk.

“Jets will be lucky to win 6 games this year” – They must be super-duper-pooper-scooper lucky: won 9 games and made the playoffs.

“Steelers know how to get the job done to defend their Super Bowl title” – Missed the playoffs by playing like crap in the middle of the season. 

“Bengals won’t have a winning record” – Won 10 games and the division.

“Ravens rushing attack may be even better this year than it was last year” – 2200 yards and 22 TDs this year. 2376 yards and 20 TDs in 2008. Call it a wash.

“Browns and Lions will be battling for worst team in the league” – St Louis actually took that honor, but they did beat the Lions. Wash again.

Peyton Manning will do everything he can to make sure the Colts finish 1st this year” – The Colts are a stupid coach away from finishing with a perfect regular season record, due in large part to MVP Manning. Finally got one right!

“Texans will finally finish with a winning record” – Got another one. They finished 9-7.

“Titans are not very confident with Vince Young” – He won a lot of games after being made the starter because of their putrid start with Kerry Collins at QB.

Maurice Jones-Drew won’t have the energy he did last year having to handle the full RB load” – Back to being wrong. He had a great statistical year.

“Chargers will score a lot of points again this year” – 4th in the NFL in points this year. 2nd in 2008. Slight drop off, but still accurate.

“With Jeff Garcia challenging him, JaMarcus Russell will get better” – They cut Garcia, and Russell still stunk.

“Only way the Broncos avoid the cellar is if they have a RB do great” – They avoided the cellar and didn’t have a RB with 1,000 yards rushing.

“The Chiefs won’t win more than 3 games this year” – 4-12. So close, and yet so far.

NFC Predictions Recap

East: 1. Eagles, 2. Cowboys, 3. NY Giants, 4. Redskins

North: 1. Vikings, 2. Bears, 3. Packers, 4. Lions

South: 1. Panthers, 2. Saints, 3. Falcons, 4. Bucs

West:  1. Seahawks, 2. Cardinals, 3. 49ers, 4. Rams

Some of the predictions I made and what actually happened.

“If McNabb and Westbrook stay healthy the Eagles should be very good” – Westbrook was hurt a good chunk of the season and they were still very good.

“With T.O. and Jessica Simpson out, Romo will finally prove he can finish a season” – He had a great December. One right already!

“Giants will miss the playoffs but finish above .500” – Finished 8-8. Call it a wash.

Jim Zorn will get fired and Bill Cowher will be the new coach of the Redskins” – All reports point to Mike Shanahan being the next head coach.

Adrian Pederson may have his best year yet” – Defenses kept stacking the box waiting for the shoe to drop with Favre, but it never did. AP still had a good year, but not his best ever.

Cutler is a better QB than Orton and Grossman put together” – and he threw more interceptions than them put together too. Oh, wait, that doesn’t make him better.

“Packers won’t move past the Vikings of Bears” – Finished 4 games ahead of the Bears

“The Lions will not finish 0-16 this year” – They actually won 2 games despite losing to the worst team in football (the Rams).

“Until someone proves you can stop Williams and Stewart the Panthers will finish on top” – They both ran great, but the Panthers still finished 3rd in the division.

Drew Brees will find a way to win the games the Saints lost last year” – They won a lot of games this year because of Brees.

Ryan and Turner will be worse statistically and miss the playoffs” – Two in a row.

“Bucs have QB troubles and will stink” – Three in a row!

“Seahawks have all the offensive keys to finish atop the division” – 5th worst offensive scoring in NFC. Finished 3rd in division.

“Cardinals won’t improve on their 9-7 record from 2008” – Finished 10-6.

“49ers may be able to finish the season around .500” – 8-8 is exactly .500. Woohoo, another one right.

“Rams will stink almost as bad as 2008 Lions” – Their only win this year was against the Lions.

How I Did

I correctly predicted where the Patriots, Ravens, Browns, Colts, Jaguars, Chargers, and Chiefs would finish in the AFC. That’s 7 of 16. Not bad, but not good.

I correctly predicted where the NY Giants, Redskins, Vikings, Lions, Bucs, and Rams would finish in the NFC. That’s only 6 of 16. If not for the really bad teams being easy to predict at the bottom of each division I would have done horribly.

I made a lot of specific predictions and got a few of them right, while getting most of them wrong. Hey, I am like Nostradamus. I just need to be a little more vague and people may start thinking I am him reincarnated.


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AFC Predictions 2009

Posted by Jack Deus on August 31, 2009

There are lots of questions going into the 2009 NFL season: Can the Steelers repeat as Super Bowl Champs? Has Tom Brady recovered enough to lead the Patriots back to the playoffs? Can Matthew Stafford lead the Lions to even a single win? How will Brett Favre and Michael Vick do on their new teams, the Vikings and Eagles? These and many other questions will factor in to how I will predict the final season standings for all 8 divisions, as well as the playoff match-ups and winners. Below are my AFC predictions. Click here for NFC predictions.


1. New England Patriots – Tom Brady is showing all the signs that he is back to his 2007 form, which should benefit Randy Moss and Wes Welker immensely. As long as the shoulder injury he sustained against the Redskins in the 3rd preseason game isn’t serious he will have a great chance of leading the Pats to another undefeated regular season. They have two tough tests early in the season when Baltimore comes knocking week 4 and Tennessee travels to Foxboro week 6. How they fair in those two games will give us a better idea of how far they can go.

2. Miami Dolphins – Miami got lucky last year in a few games where they surprised teams with the wildcat. Too bad for them that everyone has had the entire off-season to plan for it now and will be able to stop it with much more regularity. Chad Pennington is still a good quarterback that, despite all of the flaws people harp on about him, knows how to win games and Ronnie Brown is an excellent running back. The Dolphins will fall back to earth a bit this year, but should still be able to finish above .500.

3. Buffalo Bills – The addition of Terrell Owens will have a drastic impact on this team. He has a history of playing well the first year he gets to a team. Not only will the Bills benefit from the yards and touchdowns he will bring to the team, Lee Evans should have a better year too, not having to face off against the opposing team’s number 1 cornerback. If Marshawn Lynch and Fred Jackson do their part in keeping teams honest by pounding the rock well, Trent Edwards should have time to find the open Owens or Evans and the Bills may actually jump the Dolphins to number 2 in the division.

4. NY Jets – With Brett Favre as their quarterback last year, the Jets started off 8-3 and looked like they might make a run at the Super Bowl. Those dreams died about the same time as Favre’s arm and they finished the season 1-4. This year, the Jets won’t have the benefit of Favre’s fast start. They will take a lot of lumps this year with rookie quarterback Mark Sanchez failing to imitate Matt Ryan‘s, or even Joe Flacco‘s success from last year. The Jets will be lucky to win 6 games this year.


1. Pittsburgh Steelers – Until someone proves they can knock off the defending Super Bowl champs, I can’t not put them winning their own division. Ben Roethlisberger, Willie Parker, Hines Ward, and Santonio Holmes will never have the stats to compete with the elite fantasy players at their positions, but they know how to get the job done and they know how to work as a team. It doesn’t hurt that they play in a division with putrid Cleveland and Cincinnati either.

2. Baltimore Ravens – Baltimore’s defense is what people tend to focus on when they talk about the Ravens. While it is a very good defense (3rd in the AFC last year in points allowed) it is the offense that helped the Ravens finish so well last year (4th in points scored in the AFC last year). The Ravens’ rushing attack may be even better this year than it was last year, but I don’t see how Joe Flacco avoids a sophomore slump. Also, Ray Lewis and Ed Reed have to be running on fumes by now, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see a dip in their defensive potency this year, either.

3. Cincinnati Bengals – With Carson Palmer back the Bengals should be able to double the number of wins they had last year. Unfortunately, that will only get them to 8 wins, so unless they have another tie this year they won’t have a winning record. Chad Ochocinco will have his typical good year, and will Tweet about non-stop, but there is no way Chris Henry fills the role vacated by T.J. Houshmandzadeh when he went to Seattle.

4. Cleveland Browns – This will not be the year for young quarterbacks as Brady Quinn will struggle, just like Matthew Stafford in Detroit, Mark Sanchez in New York, and Joe Flacco in Baltimore. The bad news for Quinn is that his supporting cast is just barely better than Stafford’s so the two of them will be battling for worst team in the league.


1. Indianapolis ColtsPeyton Manning didn’t like losing the top-dog billing in the division last year so he will do everything he can to make sure it doesn’t happen again. Marvin Harrison leaving will actually be a good thing for the Colts, because they will be able to focus on making Reggie Wayne and Anthony Gonzalez the guys to throw to. Losing Tony Dungy on the sidelines will definitely hurt the Colts, but I think Dungy had his succession plan in place and the transition should be smoother than it ought to be.

2. Tennessee Titans – Losing Albert Haynesworth to the Redskins was a big blow to the Titans defense. Teams will now be able to double up Kyle Vanden Bosch more which will make it a lot easy to run against the Titans. Not only that but Kerry Collins is going to turn 37 this year, and you have to wonder if he will be able to make it through another full season. If not, how confidant are the Titans that Vince Young will be able to take over and lead this team to some late season wins? I’d say not very.

3. Houston Texans – This could finally be the Texans’ year to finish a season with a winning record. They have a good quarterback in Matt Schaub, a Top-5 wide receiver in Andre Johnson and a Top-10 running back in Steve Slaton. This team seemed to gel last year, finishing the season 5-1, and should be able to build on that this year. Unfortunately for them they play in a division with the Colts and Titans so 9 or 10 wins is about as good as they can hope to do, which will still only get them 3rd in the division.

4. Jacksonville Jaguars – I hear a lot of people saying that Maurice Jones-Drew will benefit from not having to split carries with Fred Taylor this year, but I don’t buy it. MoJo is a much better back when he can keep his legs fresh and do what he does best, which is flair out and catch passes out of the backfield. There were three games last year where he led the Jaguars in receiving, and I just don’t see him having the energy to do that again this year if he has to carry the ball 20-25 times a game. David Garrard better hope St. Louis retread Torry Holt isn’t washed up and that Troy Williamson does better here than he did in Minnesota, because he isn’t going to be able to look towards MoJo as an outlet nearly as much as he did last year.


1. San Diego Chargers – The Chargers offense last year scored more points than any other team in the AFC, and were second only to New Orleans in the entire NFL. All of the key components to that offense, LaDainian Tomlinson, Darren Sproles, Philip Rivers, and Antonio Gates are all back and unless one of them gets hurt they should have no problem scoring a lot of points again this year. With the return of Shawne Merriman on defense the Chargers won’t give up nearly as many points as they did last year, which will help them wrap up this division by Thanksgiving.

2. Oakland Raiders – The Raiders defense was good at times last year, and one of their bigger problems was they were always on the field because the Raiders’ offense was so poor. This year, with Jeff Garcia breathing down his neck, JaMarcus Russell will have no choice but to get better, and his receiving core of Darrius Heyward-Bay and Jonnie Lee Higgins should provide ample deep threats to keep teams from stacking the box against Darren McFadden and Justin Fargas. Last year’s offensive shortcomings shouldn’t hurt the Raiders nearly as much this year, and finishing the season with 7 or 8 wins shouldn’t be out of the question.

3. Denver Broncos – Replacing Jay Cutler with Kyle Orton at quarterback is a huge downgrade for this team. Add in the fact that Brandon Marshall wants out and is currently suspended, and things are shaping up to be a very long season for new Head Coach Josh McDaniels. The only chance the Broncos have of staying out of the AFC West cellar is if they can manage, for the umpteenth year in a row, to plug in a new running back and have him do well.

4. Kansas City ChiefsLarry Johnson is washed up. The Chiefs wide receivers are a collection of has-beens and no names, except for Dwayne Bowe. But he currently doesn’t have anyone good to throw him the ball, since Matt Cassell just got hurt in a preseason game against the Seahawks. Even if Cassell was still healthy he isn’t nearly as good of a quarterback as his numbers last year with the Patriots make him out to be. If Cassell doesn’t return or has to play injured the whole year the Chiefs will be lucky to win half as many games this year as they did last year. Even if the injury turns out to be a minor one, the Chiefs won’t win more than 3 games this year.

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NFL Postseason Predictions

Posted by Jack Deus on December 29, 2008

Yesterday marked the conclusion of another exciting NFL regular season with two games that ended up being bonus playoff games (Denver at San Diego and Dallas at Philly), with the winner moving on and the loser staying home. The ended up being pretty crappy games with the home team blowing out the road team, but the fans in San Diego and Philly wouldn’t have it any other way.

Wild Card Round

Indianapolis (12-4) at(really?) San Diego (8-8)
The first of two games where the road team is better than the home team (at least according to record). No matter where this game is played the Colts are just going to prove too much for the banged up Chargers. San Diego’s star running back, LaDanian Tomlinson, tweaked his groin in the Denver game, and while he says he will be ready for the game Saturday, one has to wonder how effective he will actually be: Indianapolis 38-San Diego 28

Baltimore (11-5) at Miami (11-5)
Even though Baltimore beat Miami 27-13 in week 7, this game is being played in Miami because they won their division. What a bunch of bologna. But, much like the other AFC wild-card game the venue won’t matter. Miami is a good team, but they benefited from a pretty weak schedule to get into the playoffs. They beat lowly Seattle, Oakland, St. Louis, San Francisco, and Kansas City by a combined 20 points. Repeat of Week 7: Baltimore 27-Miami 13

Atlanta (11-5) at Arizona (9-7)
Not that I’m claiming a conspiracy or anything, but the NFL gift-wrapped this home playoff game for the Cardinals by having the stupid rule about the division winners being higher seeds than the wild-cards, as well as by having Arizona be in arguably the worst division in NFL history. Arizona’s (at times) high-powered offense will keep them in the game, but Atlanta will wear them down: Atlanta 31-Arizona 23

Philadelphia (9-6-1) at Minnesota (10-6)
If anyone tells you they have a good feeling picking either team to win this game they are either lying or on crack (or both). Neither of these teams has been consistent by any stretch of the imagination. I think Philly will find a way to stop Adrian Peterson forcing Minnesota to throw the ball, which won’t work out well for them: Philly 27-Minnesota 14

Divisional Round

Baltimore at Tennessee
Tennessee’s defense will give Joe Flacco fits all day, and if Baltimore can find a way to stop the Tennessee run this should prove to be a low scoring, defensive battle: Tennessee 13-Baltimore 9

Indianapolis at Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh’s running backs are too banged up to get anything consistent going and Marvin Harrison will know he has to have a good post season to get paid well next year so he and Peyton Manning will have a vintage day: Indy 28-Pittsburgh 20

Philly at Carolina
There is no way Philly will show up in full force two weeks in a row nor be able to stop Steve Smith and the Carolina running backs: Carolina 31-Philly 14

Atlanta at NY Giants
No rookie quarterback is supposed to be able to travel to a cold weather stadium and win a playoff game, and Matt Ryan will prove this rule. Also, Brandon Jacobs should be well rested with the bye-week and will be able to run all over Atlanta’s D. Atlanta’s running game will keep this game close, however: NY Giants 20-Atlanta 17

Championship Round
Indianapolis at Tennessee
Indy is peaking and Tennessee will be coming into this game banged up and bruised from the Baltimore game. Add that to the fact that Indy will be stacking the box and turning this into a quarterback battle, which Peyton would win over either Kerry Collins or Vince Young 9 times out of 10, including this time: Indy 31-Tennessee 21

Carolina at NY Giants
The Giants ran all over Carolina in week 15, but they won’t be able to do that again. Besides, the world isn’t ready for a Manning vs Manning Super Bowl: Carolina 27-NY Giants 23

Super Bowl
Indianapolis Colts vs Carolina Panthers
Just like he did to Chicago to get his first Super Bowl ring, Peyton Manning is going to eat up and spit out the Carolina D: Indy 38-Carolina 20

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